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Showing posts from October, 2022

Two Variables that are Volatile, Uncertain, Complex, and Ambiguous (VUCA) Creates Four Different Scenarios

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One of the two most Volatile, Uncertain, Complex, and Ambiguous (VUCA) conditions and forces acting on the future of our world over the next ten years relates to climate. Not if climate is changing, but will it be fast or slow. Secondly, will humans (especially those with significant power) embrace the need to act for the long term survival of humanity. You may have different VUCA forces in your mind, but this is where I will start to begin to encourage scenario thinking.   One end of the first VUCA variable is:  No, we will Not Embrace  the need to act to slow climate change   and reduce atmosphere changing gases.   We will not be proactive to limit  Climate Change for the  long term good.   It is of minimal importance  to the majority of people in  power on earth.  There will opposition to  cooperation and political values  will be oriented toward the  immediate future and the Now.  This is negative end of the X axis.   (-)——————-—————————————0———————————————————(+)